The wild card round is here, and that’s a pretty good description of the fantasy landscape this weekend: Wild. There’s not a single RB play that I like, and even the top no brainer quarterbacks have enough question marks to give you a little bit of doubt before plugging them in. There’s definitely going to be a bit of variance in this weeks competitions, so it might be worth having a few lineups to give yourself exposure to a few more players, as it’s very difficult to lock in 1 must play lineup.
Each week we will break down three quarterbacks we like, five RBs, five WRs, two TEs 2 kickers and 2 defences. Make sure you follow us on twitter as well to see what lineup we end up using. This week is a struggle due to the ridiculous amount of value there is available. With the number of value plays available this week, you should have no problem playing whichever studs you want to this week. The usual target of 2x cost may not be enough in what we expect to be a very high scoring fantasy week.
Ben Roethlisberger $9100 – Only an average matchup here against the Bengals, but Big Ben has by far the best weapons to work with in the passing game. With Williams likely out this week, it’s expected that the Steelers will air it out, and Ben should have some pretty high usage. He’s struggled against the Bengals this season, but he’s too good to contain
Kirk Cousins $8300 – Has been absolutely on fire lately, averaging 29 fantasy points over his last three. Involved in the game with the highest O/U in a decent matchup against Green Bay, the only concern here is the fact that he’s still not a particularly trusted commodity. He’s been good this season, but he’s still Kirk Cousins.
AJ McCarron $4700 – Will be in all of our lineups. At first glance, he’s mediocre, as he’s averaging less than 15 FP in his 4 starts this season. However, in DFS it’s all about value, and McCarron is returning 3x value in his starts this season, which is insane (2x in Football is the equivalent to 5x in NBA). Also, Pittsburgh are one of the worst teams in the NFL against the pass, and his his best game off his season game against them 4 weeks ago, when he put up 18 FP.
Honestly, it’s a bit of a dart through here. There’s not a single player we trust, it’s just a matter of finding the guys we hate the least.
Adrian Peterson $8900 – So firstly the cons – averaging only 12.7 over his last three, and is up against the best RB defence in football. Oh and he put up 4.4 FP against them a few weeks back. Yet he still makes our lineups. At the end of the day, we want usage we can trust, and he’s had at least 18 touches in 4 straight games. With the weather expected to be brutally cold, we expect the game to be slowed down, with more running and less big passes.
Marshawn Lynch $7900 – Hasn’t played a game since round 10, but apparently has been recovering well but has paced himself to be ready for the playoffs. One of the best RB’s in football when healthy, and the Seahawks have typically grinded it out in the Playoffs, with a lot of Beastmode.
Jeremy Hill $6900 – Ah, if it isn’t the bane of my season long fantasy teams. Managed to have him both of my teams, and started him every week he failed and benched him every week he blew up. I’m going to message Moneyball and ask if they can make my lineups anonymous if I play him, and maybe that way the curse won’t be activated. Not a great matchup against Pittsburgh, but he’s a decent bet for a TD.
Eddie Lacy $6800 – Man, it goes downhill quickly doesn’t it? Our 3rd and 4th choice running backs probably aren’t even the best backs on their own teams. Still, Fat Eddy appears to be due, with scores of 19, 0, 21, 2, 15, 5 in his last 6, it looks like a double digit score is on the cards. If he hadn’t been terrible this season he would probably be our number pick, as he might have the highest upside against a Washington team that has struggled against the run.
Fitzgerald Toussaint $4100 – This is more of a case of not trusting anyone from Washington, Houston or Kansas City than it is loving Toussaint, but at least his coach loves him. Mediocre matchup against the Bengals, but his price makes him pretty attractive, especially with some nice higher priced options at WR.
Antonio Brown $9500 – Probably the #1 play of the week. Obviously strange things can happen, but it’s hard to imagine him scoring less than 15 here, and he has legit 40 point upside. 8 straight games with double digit targets (including 17 in his most recent outing), and 5 of his last 7 games have eclipsed 29 FP. Mediocre matchup against the Bengals, but should see some extra usage with Williams out.
Doug Baldwin $8300 – Should have slightly lower ownage than usual, coming off his first touchdown less game in 6 weeks. While this game is expected to be low scoring, he’s as good a bet for a touchdown as anyone outside of Brown, and has shown that nice upside over his last few weeks.
Desean Jackson $7000 – He’s a boom or bust play, but he’s got some very nice upside. From weeks 11-15, he had 4/5 weeks with at least 13 fantasy points, including a blow-up game against Buffalo where he produced 24 FP.
James Jones $5600 – Has been Rodgers go to guy down the stretch, averaging 9 targets/game over his last 3, up from just 5.5 on the season. Has one of the best matchups on the board, and his price and targets make him a very attractive second or third WR.
Marvin Jones $5400 – Over the last 5 games, Marvin Jones has 31 targets… AJ Green has 32. Jones has shown the ability to find the endzone as well, and while we like AJ Green in a great matchup, Jones at $3500 cheaper seems to be the better value play.
Jordan Reed $7300 – Number one TE on the board, and about as chalky a play as you can get. The only reason we’ve gone with Eifert in a couple of lineups is that the $400 savings have given us some nice upgrades. Prior to his one quarter of play vs. Dallas, Jordan Reed was coming off a 5 game stretch with 44 targets (8.8/game), 5 TDs (1/game) and a 5 game average of over 18 FP/game, including three straight over 20. Nice matchup against Green Bay in what is expected to be a bit of a shootout.
Tyler Eifert $6900 – A bit more of a risky play than Reed, as he hasn’t been seeing the targets over the last few games, but he still has 4 TD’s in 4 games. He has 4 games with 2 or more TDs this season, and has a great matchup against the Steelers secondary. Floor is lower than Reed, but his ceiling is just as high.
Nick Noval $4600
Steven Hauschka $4600
Seattle Seahawks $5500
Houston Texans $5500