John Wall $10100 – Put up 58 fantasy points in their previous matchup, though does have the return of Bradley Beal to slightly cut into his usage. The matchup against the Rockets though is great, and this game is expected to stay close throughout, so it’s the perfect game to target. Given the lack of appealing high end options, I have Wall and Harden as close to must plays.
Jrue Holiday $6800 – Great matchup here, and while it’s expected for Evans to return, he should be on a minutes restriction and Holiday has been playing consistent minutes regardless. We are assuming Davis is out, but if Davis plays both Holiday and Cole get a slight decrease in value. Like Cole as well if you need a cheaper option.
George Hill $4900 – Nuggets are 28th in the league against the PG position, and this game is expected to be relatively high scoring. He doesn’t have the highest ceiling, but makes a decent cash game option in this matchup.
Others to consider – Norris Cole $4500, Donald Sloan $4300
James Harden $10300 – Put up 64 fantasy points the previous time these two teams met, and the Wiz continue to be a great matchup for any wing players as they rank 25th and 30th at defending the SG and SF position respectively. Only concern here might be fatigue, as Harden will be playing three games in 4 nights, but the matchup is too good to fade.
Will Barton $5800 – The Pacers are decent defensively, but struggle against the SG position where Barton plays the majority of his minutes. His price has come down, and his minutes are back up, so this is a great spot to pick him.
Tony Allen $4600 – Nice spot to play Allen. The Kings are a great matchup, and while Allen hasn’t been the most exciting play, he continues to start and has been averaging 32 minutes and 21 FP over his last 5.
Others to consider –Bradley Beal $5500, Wayne Ellington $3500
Kawhi Leonard $7500 – Haven’t loved playing him lately, as he’s been pretty disappointing, but he did put up 40 FP the last time these two teams met, and should see a little bump in usage and minutes with Duncan out. This pick completely ignores recent form and is really just hoping gameflow and narrative help us out, which they should. You can tell I’m confident in this one.
Trevor Ariza $5800 – As I mentioned with Harden, the Wiz are 30th in the league at defending the SF position. Given there are 30 teams, it’s safe to conclude that they are not particularly good at this aspect of basketball. This game is expected to be both high scoring and close, so while Ariza can be inconsistent, he’s probably the number 1 SF play by the numbers today.
Alonzo Gee $3500 – Three straight starts, and 4 straight games with at least 28 minutes and 21 fantasy points. With a nice matchup against the Nets, he makes a great punt play if you need the money elsewhere.
Others to consider – Danilo Gallinari $7000 (tournament)
Anthony Davis $9600 – Come on. You know you want to. What’s the worst that could happen? In defence of this play, he’s coming off a concussion, which shouldn’t affect his ability to produce, so we can expect him to be at 100%. The matchup is also nice, and his price is the lowest it’s been all season. Scary to trust, but still. Just do it.
Thadeus Young $6600 – Had him as a better play with Davis out, as you’d much rather be up against Anderson than Davis, but the matchup is still a positive one.
Nene $3800 – There is a slight concern here that the Wiz will go small to match up with the Rockets, but probably won’t know before 11am lock. The Rockets are last in the league against the PF position, so it’s a nice matchup if he starts as expected. There can never be too much risk for a sub 4k player, so happy to roll him out there even if we haven’t heard an update.
Others to consider – Lamarcus Aldridge $6700, Kenneth Faried $6400
Brook Lopez $7900 – Tough to decide between Lopez and Gasol, but Lopez has been the more consisten play this year. Pels are 30th against the position, Kings are 29th, so if you are paying up at the C position, you can’t go wrong.
Nicola Jokic $5200 – While I probably won’t have a lot of Jokic, due to the great premium plays as well as Myles Turner, he’s got a nice matchup here against the Pacers. He’s averaging almost 30 FP over his last 5.
Myles Turner $4700 – Probably the chalk play at C today, Myles has 6 straight games with at least 5x value, and 5 of those were off the bench. Now he’s starting against a Denver team that is ranked 23rd against both the PF and C position. Great play in a vaccuum, great matchup as well.
Others to consider – Marc Gasol $8400