With week 9 coming and going and Thursday Night Football already in the books, we can officially confirm the only thing we know so far this season, that the Browns are bad. Whilst we kind of figured this would be the case weeks ago, it just about the only thing we can so without a shadow of doubt in a league the continues to throw us curveballs.
This has made DFS hard for many so far this year, myself included. That being said, here are some of the plays I like for week 10.
Pay up: Matt Ryan ($9,400) is my pick up the top guys this week. Ryan has been outstanding this season and has been somewhat of the driving force behind the Falcons high-powered offense. While Julio Jones is arguably the biggest name, it is Ryan’s name that is being throw into the MVP discussion. He has thrown for at least 250 yards in all but one game and is yet to go without a passing touchdown in every game this season. A picture of consistency that will undoubtedly continue this week against the Eagles. Expect 25+ points here.
Value play: Jay Cutler ($6,700) is not as bad as the media makes out and will look to continue his momentum after picking up a big win against the Vikings last week. He faces a much easier matchup as the Bears head on the road to face the Bucs defence that ranks 30th in the league in points allowed to apposing QB’s. While turnovers have often been the one knock on the former Bronco, Cutler has shown that when given time in the pocket, he has the arm talent to be an extremely productive quarterback. A risky play, but one with a great deal of upside.
Pay Up: David Johnson ($9,500) should be rolled out in all cash line-ups, and its hard to make a case for fading him in tournaments. The 49ers rank dead last in points allowed to apposing running backs and have allowed a 100-yard rusher in every game since NaVarro Bowman went down with injury. I don’t really need to make much more of a case for this pick, its pretty straight forward.
Value play: Darren Sproles ($5,600) presents as a cheap route into what looms to be one of the highest scoring games of the week. While many thought this was Ryan Matthews backfield going into the season, Sproles has rightfully claimed the lead back position. Couple this with his prowess in the passing game and you have a pretty safe floor. We all know about his play making ability in the open field, and the Falcons sub par defence that he faces. Look for him to slip a tackle and find his way into the end zone this week.
Pay up: Mike Evans ($9,100) is simply a target hog and at 6’5, is virtually unstoppable. Evans was cleared of concussion and has been deemed fit to face the Bears on Sunday. He will likely see Tracy Porter shadow him all over the field, but given the advantage that Evans has in the air and the connection he has with Jameis Winston, it is unlikely this will slow the 3rd year pro down. Evans has seen 10 or more targets in every week since week 2, which is exactly what you should look for when picking wide receivers in DFS.
Value play: Alshon Jeffery ($6,800) finally found the end zone last week after a frustrating start to the season. With Jay Cutler missing several weeks with a hand injury, Jeffery was forced to catch passes from Brian Hoyer and Matt Barkley over the last six weeks. Clearly, the two weren’t on the same page and Jeffery’s production slumped dramatically over that period. With Jay Cutler back under centre and a match-up against the Bucs defence this week, Jeffery figures to continue toward getting his season back on track. The Bucs’ have allowed the most points to apposing receivers this season. A big game is definitely on the cards.
Jimmy Graham ($6,400) is Russell Wilson’s standout option in the passing game and after a slow start to his Seattle career, is finally making up for lost time. Graham goes in to this week’s matchup against the Patriots injury free and will likely serve as the safety blanket that this passing game will need against one of the best defences in the league. Given the scarcity of options at this position and Graham’s relatively low price, you should feel comfortable rolling him out despite a tough matchup.
The Browns’ played on Thursday night, so I can’t pick on them this week. Instead I’ll pick on the Jags and roll with the Texans ($4,100) on Sunday. The Texans are obviously still hurting from the loss of JJ Watt and have struggled stopping the run. However, Chris Ivory and TJ Yeldon don’t exactly scare me, nor does Blake Bortles in the passing game.
Will Lutz ($4,300) is making kicking in the NFL look easy. The undrafted rookie has been outstanding so far this year and the fact that he is attached to one of the best offenses in the league does him no harm either. Don’t be too scared of the matchup against the Broncos, Drew Brees always finds a way to move the ball at home.
Be sure to continue the conversation with me on twitter @damonmarcon where we can talk all things NFL as well as those line-ups that are pushing towards DFS glory. Good luck!