Well, after what had been a pretty successful couple of weeks for my picks, Jay Cutler and the Bears forced me to eat my words in week 10. For those that jumped on board with me, I sincerely apologise. The Bears are officially in the Jets and Browns range going forward. That is, teams that for the most part, should be faded. With all that said, lets get on to this week’s picks.
Andrew Luck (8,900) and Marcus Mariota (8,800) are set to face off for the second time this season as the Colts welcome the red hot Titans to town. Luck and the Colts come into this game fresh off the bye and should have an added swagger due to the fact that they beat up on the Titans earlier in the season. In the process, Luck threw for over 350 yards and 3 touchdowns, amassing 27 fantasy points. If history is anything to go by, we can expect something similar from the former number one pick, so long as his offensive line holds up.
Mariota on the hand has picked up his play dramatically since their last encounter and is arguably the NFL’s hottest passer as we speak. He leads the league in passing touchdowns from week 5 onwards and has surpassed 20 fantasy points in 4 of his last 6 games. There is no reason he can’t continue this against a mediocre Colts defence.
With Jay Cutler and Jared Goff the only starting quarterbacks priced below $7,000 this week, week 11 looks like the perfect time to pay up for a top end guy at this position. Given the shootout potential and relative price of both these guys, the pair represent my top picks at the position this week.
Pay up: LeVeon Bell ($9,500) faces the Browns this week and for that reason there really isn’t a whole lot more to say. The only remaining winless team in the NFL rank second last in points allowed to apposing running backs and given the Steelers dip in form as of late, they will undoubtedly look to use this as a platform to get back on track.
Value play: CJ Prosise ($4,800) exploded last week and was so impressive that the Seattle front office felt comfortable enough to waive Christine Michael. While this came as a surprise to many, it was good news in fantasy terms as Prosise will be handed more opportunities going forward. Reports suggest that Thomas Rawls will return to the field this week and while he will undoubtedly eat into Prosise’s carries, CJ will still be the sole pass catcher in the Seattle backfield. At a cheap price, the converted wide-receiver looks to be the perfect enabler this week as we look to pay up at other positions.
Pay up: Allen Robinson ($7,900) serves as an ample substitute to the usual crop of big names at receiver position. Antonio Brown and OBJ will both be picked in a large number of teams, but if you are looking to save some coin or to pair one of those guys with another elite pass catcher, Robinson comes with upside this week. After overcoming a slow start to the year, he has caught a passing touchdown in each of the last two weeks and faces a Lions defence that is mediocre at best. Expect the Jags to fall behind early and Blake Bortles to play catch up in the second half, the Jags game-script is always the same.
Value play: Tyreek Hill ($5,200) has emerged as the playmaker in the passing game that the Chiefs have been looking for for some time. Whilst Jeremy Maclin was the big money addition to the passing game in years gone past, he has been underwhelming this season and his absence in recent weeks has opened the door for Hill. The speedster was targeted 13 times last week and will be given the opportunity to make plays again this week against the Bucs who rank second last in fantasy points allowed to apposing receivers.
Eric Ebron ($5,400) has scored double digits in both of his games since returning from injury and will continue to serve as one of Matt Stafford’s leading options in the passing game this week. While, the Jags defence have defended tight ends relatively well so far this season, they have regressed as a whole in recent weeks. Coming off the bye and under the roof at Ford Field, the former first round pick should have no trouble navigating this matchup.
Robbie Gould ($4,500) will welcome the Bears to town this week in a matchup that will carry a great deal of sentimental value. Gould is the points record holder for the Bears and spent over a decade in Chicago before being released before the season. I know, that has nothing to do with DFS, but in short, the Giants should beat up on the Bears who simply cannot move the ball on offence.
The Steelers ($4,000) are at basement price and face the only winless team in the NFL. There are times to fade the chalk in daily fantasy, but for me, this is not one of them. Whilst they aren’t quite the same cohesive defensive unit they once were, they will be playing with a lead all game and will have enough play making opportunities to warrant selection.
Be sure to continue the conversation with me on twitter @damonmarcon where we can talk all things NFL as well as those line-ups that are pushing towards DFS glory. Good luck!