It’s starting to get late in the regular season and as the real life playoff picture starts to tighten up, teams with no real aspirations of making the post season start to begin looking towards next season. Whist this means it may sometimes be easier to predict the outcome of games, DFS will continue to throw us curveballs each and every week. With that in mind, here’s a few players I like for week 13.
Pay-up: Drew Brees ($9,400) has more passing touchdowns than any other quarterback in the NFL and following strong outing last week, he will get the chance the replicate those numbers against the Lions at the Superdome. As I’ve touched on all season, Brees is a different man at home and is a border line must start under the roof. Couple that with a plus matchup against a shaky at best Lions defence, yes please. This game looks like a shootout on paper, make sure you have some exposure.
Value play: Jamies Winston and Colin Kaepernick ($8,000) both present as viable options for those looking to save a little coin at the quarterback position this week. Winston faces a Chargers defence that has improved since Joey Bosa’s return while Kap is again a great option against a Bears team that has no further interest in the 2016 season. The shootout factor is the appeal with respect to Winston and as long as Kaepernick continues to pick up yards on the ground, he will continue to hold fantasy relevance. Both should net you 20+ points.
Pay-up: David Johnson ($9,500) has eclipsed 100 all purpose yards in every single game this season. He likely has the highest floor of any player in the NFL and given the Cardinals reliance on him in every facet of the game, he also comes with great upside. We saw Zeke gash the Redskins on Thursday Night last week, Johnson should put up similar numbers on Sunday.
Value play: Jordan Howard ($7,100) has been one of the few positives in an otherwise appalling season for the Bears. With Jay Cutler done for the season, it is likely Howard will be leaned on heavily as they crawl to the finish line. With that being said, a winnable matchup against the 49ers this week is one that Howard should be able to take advantage of. The 49ers run defence ranks dead last in points allowed to apposing running backs, Howard should be in for a big day.
Pay-up: Julio Jones ($9,500) is set to face the Chiefs on Sunday, a secondary that has allowed the second most fantasy points to receivers this season. Following an uncharacteristically quiet game last week, I expect Julio to bounce back in a back in a big way as he us unquestionably Matt Ryan’s favourite target. For what it’s worth, he is still leading the league in receiving yards. Just in case you forgot how good this guy is.
Value play: Tyler Boyd ($4,800) comes in at just about basement price and should be productive enough to serve as an ample enabler in your line-up. Boyd has picked up the slack since the Bengals lost AJ Green to injury and has seen 17 targets and 11 catches over the past two weeks. Be reasonable with your expectations here but Boyd is no joke and will have the chance to find the end-zone this week against the Eagles.
Eric Ebron ($6,000) burnt a heap of line-ups (including mine) last week when he put up a goose egg against the Vikings. It’s only human nature that many will steer clear of him this week. However, Ebon actually finds himself in a nice matchup and will likely see massive overcorrection in production this week. Look for Stafford and the Lions to get him going early against a Saints defence that has allowed a touch under 300 yards to tight ends in the last month.
I’m going to continue riding Will Lutz ($4,500) whenever the Saints are playing at home. He should see plenty of the field with Drew Brees moving the ball so efficiently. Lets just hope he gets the chance to kick a couple of field goals too.
I can’t remember the last time I saw the Patriots ($4,000) at basement price. To be honest, I initially thought it was a mistake. They are the obvious choice against Jared Goff and the Rams. There’s no real reason to look elsewhere unless you want to be super contrarian.
Be sure to continue the conversation with me on twitter @damonmarcon where we can talk all things NFL as well as those line-ups that are pushing towards DFS glory.