Today’s nine-game slate hosts a number of fast-paced, no defense matchups, which bodes well for fantasy players. There are also a number of key injuries – namely Gobert – which raises the value for a number of well-priced plays. If you’re conducting your research and need some guidance, here are some guys to look at for today’s $20,000 Tuesday Swish, NBA DFS Tips:
Both the Lakers and Suns play fast (4th and 2nd in pace respectively), which often bodes well for point guards who push the pace. The over/under for this one is 229.5, which screams fantasy value – particularly for the guards. Both Tyler Ulis $3,800 and Lonzo Ball $7,000 should both be in for big days, with Lonzo in particularly likely to take advantage of the Suns porous defense. He will either dime up open guys or stroll to the rim for open shots (basically the only ones he can make).
Lonzo just came off his best game of the season, becoming the youngest player to ever put up a triple-double. And per my tracking, he actually made some of his first shots over rim protection; Perhaps his confidence is rising. To me, that’s an extremely positive sign heading into the Suns matchup and given Lonzo had 29/11/9 against the Suns last time, can we hope for a similar repeat performance, maybe even back-to-back triple-doubles? I’m calling it.
Lou WIlliams $5,700
With injuries to Teodosic and Beverly, Lou Williams should see more playing time for the Clippers against the Sixers. Lou has played a much smaller role in LA than he was used to on the other side of town last year, but in the last two games, he has played 36 and 39 minutes due to the absence of other guards. With that type of playing time, Lou is bound to score. HIs crafty foul drawing exploits and ability to hit the toughest shots means he won’t play big minutes without having some kind of scoring impact.
Donovan Mitchell $5,500
Donovan Mitchell is one of my favourite players of the draft. He’s been a little bit inconsistent, but he’s more often hot than cold. With Gobert out, there’s every chance Utah relies even more heavily on his shot creation, as they can’t rely on Gobert’s vertical spacing to open up lanes or make things easier by throwing down every lob in sight.
Joe Ingles $5,700
With a favourable matchup against Minnesota – one of the league’s worst defenses (ranked 27th) – and with the incentive to up the pace due to their big man being injured, Jazz players should heavily feature in today’s 9 game slate.
Joe Ingles is another Utah wing who will be relied upon even more with Gobert out. The Aussie has been in excellent form all year and has been an excellent season-long fantasy edition for me personally. He’s shooting lights out and his ability to secure a few assists and a couple of steals a game is extremely valuable. He has averaged 26.9 in his last 9 games, including 31.7 in 34.4 minutes in his last.
TJ Warren $7,000
TJ Warren is your perfect tournament play. One game he drops 21.2, then he drops 47.2. In the last seven games, he has had 3 games over 47 and three games below 23. This inconsistency keeps his price well below his ceiling, which is what makes him such a great play in a good matchup vs the fast-paced Lakers.
Derrick Favors $5,000
With Gobert out, Favors will take the brunt of the pick and roll touches. He’s not the player he was, but he looks much healthier this season than he has the last few. The Jazz will want to get the most out of Favors with Gobert gone – not only to keep them in the playoff hunt but to potentially raise his trade value for when Gobert returns. Favors had 46.4 in the last game in 35.6 minutes with Gobert limited with injury. He should see similar minutes today and for a player like Favors, minutes correlates nicely with fantasy production.
Julius Randle $5,000
Randle is another guy who rumours of trade baiting have surfaced around, however, he’s played exceptionally well lately. His minutes are steadily increasing and he has taken advantage of it. He’s found chemistry with Lonzo in the PnR, and against a team like the Suns who are terrible with help defense principles, Randle could be one of the Laker players to take full advantage. This might be a good point of difference over AD, Simmons or Porzingis, who are sure to be heavily owned.
DeMarcus Cousins $11,800
Cousins is in the form of his life, averaging 28.7 points, 13.8 rebounds, 5.7 assists, 1.5 steals, and 1.8 blocks – numbers that have never been amassed in NBA history. It’s a truly historic season from Boogie, who looks just as good off paper as he goes on. In a great matchup against Atlanta today, I can’t see any of those bigs slowing him down.