The OHL Classic in Mexico is next on the list for the PGA Tour’s fall swing.
This event will be played at Mayakoba Resort’s El Camaleon Country Club on a track, which measures only 6,987 yards, one of the shortest on tour.
It features a par-71 layout and there’s three par fives, which are all reachable in two by most of the field, and even the par threes play short.
In the past 10 years this event has proven a haven for older gents with their accurate approach games holding up at the oft-breezy course.
But the wind is not forecast to be a factor this week, which means the scoring could close in on 20-under.
Playing from the fairway will be vital and there’s a wide range of players who could be successful. It’s a great week for PGA DFS.
Last week: The Shriners Hospitals for Children Open threw up another first-time winner with Patrick Cantlay emerging from a three-man playoff. He was among the 10 players I looked at in last week’s column where seven of my 10 leans made the cut.
If JJ Spaun and Tony Finau didn’t tank on the final day I might have taken down the $20 entry tournament too but I had to settle for fifth.
We want ball strikers this week. Guys who can put it in the fairway and then hit the greens. Average putters can fire here – think Gary Woodland finishing second last year – and those who hit greens all day will be in the mix.
I cannot stress enough the value of getting nine guys through the cut. In the $20 buy-in tournament last week only a handful of lineups of 94 got nine of nine through and it was no surprise to see them all in the big money.
In GPP tournaments you need your low-owned points of difference but having those cut-makers in the mix is crucial.
The $8K and $9K Range
Pat Perez ($9,000) – Last year’s champion comes in off a recent win in Asia and is playing some of the best golf of his career despite his advancing years compared to the young studs on Tour. Perez hits plenty of greens and is a good putter, which is a great combo for Mayakoba.
The $7K Range
Chesson Hadley ($7,900) – Hadley hurt me last week as I completely faded him as I thought he had played too much lately but he is showing no signs of fatigue. He has three top four performances to open the new season, play the hot hand. Note: He will be chalky.
Kevin Chappell ($7,200) – Chappell hit nearly every green going in Las Vegas last week, he just couldn’t make a putt. He was so frustrated with his flat stick that he put it in the lake during the weekend. If he can drop some putts in Mexico he will be near the top of the leaderboard given he is a tee-to-green monster.
The $6K Range
Russell Knox ($6,800) – The Scotsman made my column last week and while he made the cut in Las Vegas, he faded to a disappointing 72nd. He’s five from five here in cuts made with third and second place finishes in the past two years.
Graeme McDowell ($6,200) – Here’s another wily veteran with experience in seaside courses. The Irishman won this event in 2015 and profiles nicely for this track. Also sneakily finished with a T10 in Las Vegas last week.
Brice Garnett ($6,100) – Garnett won the regular season money list on the Web Tour in 2017 and completely flew under the radar. I threw him in a lineup last week in the $2 putt and was the only person crazy enough to roster him. He missed the cut but did manage a hole in one. This course sets up much better for his skillset and he has two top seven finishes in his past two appearances.
Ben Silverman ($6,000) – This is another Web Tour graduate I like at a cheap quote this week. He hits plenty of fairways and greens and has made nine of his past 10 cuts in all competitions.
The $5K Range
This is the range that could win you a tournament this week
Nick Taylor ($5,900) – This is an insane price for the Canadian. He won’t set the world on fire but at these levels you need a reliable cut-maker and Taylor is your guy. He’s two from two at this event.
Vaughn Taylor ($5,800) – Here’s an old guy that plays well at coastal courses. Vaughn Taylor isn’t a household name and he probably won’t be any more than 5% owned in any competition this week, so take a flyer and enjoy having a unique player.
JT Poston ($5,700) – Poston just hits it really straight and is great with a wedge, which is a valuable skill at Mayakoba. He was seventh in Moneyball points in Las Vegas last week on his way to a T4 finish. Also finished 35th here last year.
Beau Hossler ($5,500) – The American is uber cheap and if the wind gets up then he won’t wilt. He fired a five-under 66 during round three in Las Vegas last week in tough conditions and while he faded in the final round, you’d have to think that would have been a great learning curve for him.
Piece of Chalk: It’s impossible to go past Chesson Hadley ($7,900) given the form he is in and at that price you have to roster him.
Scrub-A-Dub: Bank on Beau for another made cut. Beau Hossler ($5,500) wasn’t even rostered in the $20 tournament last week. The youngster can play, he is a steal at this price.