A weak field, new course and some big guns that are mixing their form, welcome to the AT&T Byron Nelson.
Headlined by Jordan Spieth ($9,500), this field is a mixture of up-and-comers, journeyman and players vying for their first win on the PGA Tour.
It means that those who go the extra mile with their research will have an edge on the field in Moneyball PGA DFS.
This tournament has moved to the Trinity Forest Golf Club in downtown Dallas from its previous home of TPC Four Seasons.
The American-links style course will provide a unique challenge for tour pros looking for crucial FedEx Cup points to retain their cards.
Golfers will see wide fairways but positioning off the tee is crucial at this par-71 layout, spread across 7,380 yards.
Players need to hit the right part of the green to give themselves a birdie opportunity but if they’re in the wrong position, they’ll struggle to make par.
There’s three par fives and two of them are reachable in two shots for most players.
There’s a unique double green that serves holes three and 11.
Last week: The Players Championship proved a tough tournament to negotiate and very few people had 9/9 through in the $20 GPP.
The column looked at nine players and eight made the cut with the highlight being Scrub-A-Dub Jimmy Walker finishing second.
Balanced lineups are appealing to me and I think you’ll want to make the most of the $6K and $7K ranges.
If you go with Spieth at the top, given what he costs, he will need to finish inside the top 10 to return his value.
I want players that are coming in with some form and hit their irons well.
Spieth, Beau Hossler ($7,200) and a handful of other players are members of this course.
That narrative can be taken two ways. Either, they’re going to know all the ins and outs that others won’t or they never play it in tournament conditions so it is irrelevant.
Given this is the debut for this tournament we have no course history to work from.
$8 & 9K Range
Matt Kuchar ($8,600) – While Spieth is busy fielding multiple media calls, entertaining family and friends in Dallas, Mr Reliable Kuchar will likely book another top 20.
Kuchar was solid at The Players Championship with a T17 finish and he finished second at last year’s Open Championship, indicating he has ability on links-style tracks.
He’s just a safe pair of hands in an event where there is very few.
This is a range where you could start your lineups.
Jimmy Walker ($7,600) – Walker’s second place at The Players last week was super impressive.
He seems rejuvenated following his health troubles and he also has a strong record in Texas events on Tour.
Walker is 40th on Tour for strokes gained: around the green and 23rd in putting. Those numbers put him among the best in this field.
Branden Grace ($7,500) – Grace has shown up on tough tracks in the past and if this new course plays tough then he could be a safe play.
The South African has won on Tour before, hits it straight and has a low ball flight.
A low ball flight would be valuable if the wind blows.
Grace is sixth on Tour for strokes gained: putting.
Beau Hossler ($7,200) – I will be in on the narrative of players who are members at this course when it comes to Hossler.
The 23-year-old looks like a winner-in-waiting on Tour and finished second at the Houston Open before The Masters.
He is an exceptional wind player as evidenced by his T7 result at the breezy Shriners Hospital for Children Open in Las Vegas in November.
Rory Sabbatini ($6,900) – The controversial South African has been putting together some nice results of late.
The 42-year-old has a terrible wrist tattoo, wears cowboy hats on the course and also has six wins on Tour. I like that mixture.
There’s also the small matter of making 12 of his past 13 cuts. You won’t find that consistency in this field.
He’s 12th on Tour for strokes gained: around the green.
Martin Laird ($6,300) – If the wind blows then it’s time to party with Marty.
The big-hitting Scotsman is a proven winner on Tour and has been in solid form of late having made seven of his past eight cuts, including three top 10s.
Laird also ranks inside the top 21 on Tour strokes gained: around the green, and putting.
Ben Crane ($6,200) – Crane is good around the greens and has made five straight cuts.
The PGA Tour veteran has five wins on the world’s toughest golf circuit.
He will give you a nice point of difference in your lineups.
Kevin Na ($5,800) – This seems a crazy price for a player of Na’s calibre.
The form hasn’t been there of late with three missed cuts before he finished T46 at The Players last week but on paper he’s better than a majority of this field.
Na also leads the Tour in strokes gained: around the green.
Richy Werenski ($5,700) – Werenski has flashed some sneaky form recently.
T23 at The Players followed a T11 at the Valero Texas Open a month ago.
The American led the field in strokes gained: approach at The Players and was third in strokes gained: off the tee.
Let’s hope he can make a few putts this week.
Piece of Chalk: I think everyone will want to climb aboard the Jimmy Walker ($7,600) train and it’s hard to see why you wouldn’t want to be on board.
Scrub-A-Dub: It seems crazy to even have Kevin Na ($5,800) in this range but he’s a clear play at this price.