The fields are shrinking as we continue in the PGA Tour’s FedEx Cup playoffs.
Only 98 players of a possible 100 will tee it up at the Dell Technologies Championship at TPC Boston.
The course is located near Boston and is a par-71, totalling 7,342 yards with three par fives and four par threes.
The fairways are usually easy to hit at approximately 65 per cent, compared to the Tour average of 60 per cent.
Given it’s playoff time this field is elite and Justin Thomas ($9,100) is the defending champion.
Please note: This tournament starts on Friday night Australian and New Zealand time rather than the usual Thursday.
Last week: Long-time favourites of the column Bryson DeChambeau ($7,000) and Tony Finau ($7,000) finished first and second, respectively.
The nine players I looked at resulted in eight who made the cut, with seven inside the top 50 but only three inside the top 15 in Patrick Cantlay ($7,200), Hideki Matusyama ($7,100) and Kevin Na ($5,900).
So, it can always be better.
With only 98 players in the field – Rickie Fowler and Francesco Molinari are sitting out – you need to be aggressive.
The top 70 players and ties will make the cut so there will be plenty of rosters with 9/9 through. There’s no MDF.
You will need to find players who can rack up the birdies because if the forecast rain hits, the winning score may touch -20.
With three par fives, two of which are reachable, eagles will be on the table this week, so I will look at players who can make hay there.
Don’t be afraid to take some risks.
$8K and $9K Range
Brooks Koepka ($8,800) – The players in this range speak for themselves. They’re the best players on the planet for a reason.
But I am going to lean on Koepka who has finished fifth, first and eighth in his past three starts.
The long-driving American is vying to take the world No 1 spot from Dustin Johnson ($9,300) with a big finish here.
Koepka’s putter was off last week but I think that will get hot again in Boston.
Jon Rahm ($7,300) – After a missed cut last week, I like this spot to jump on the fiery Spaniard.
Rahm performs on courses that he can overpower and his driver can let loose on these wide fairways.
He was fourth here last year and – hat tip to the Tour Junkies podcast – is fifth in this field for putting on fast bentgrass greens.
Rahm is also second on Tour for strokes gained: off the tee this season.
Patrick Cantlay ($7,200) – He will probably be popular but it’s hard to ignore Cantlay at this price.
He has been money all season and I won’t hold back on him this week. The American was on fire tee to green at the Northern Trust, he just couldn’t make a putt.
Cantlay has four top-15 finishes in his past five starts and was T13 at this event last season.
Hideki Matsuyama ($7,100) – Matsuyama looks like he is back in form.
The Japanese star has delivered back-to-back top-15 finishes and has never missed the cut at this tournament.
His irons are on song and he has great scoring ability.
Tommy Fleetwood ($6,800) – Given this is an easy course where you can attack the par fives, it draws me to the likeable Englishman.
Fleetwood has elite scoring ability and at this price it seems like a great play.
He’s fifth on Tour for par-five scoring average at 4.52 so the birdies should flow.
Patrick Reed ($6,700) – This is based on course history over form.
Reed has three straight top-six finishes at this event and that body of work is good enough for me.
This is a great price for player of this quality.
Aaron Wise ($6,100) – This is boom or bust.
Wise will either be in the top 10 or have the weekend off. He was fifth last week as his irons got hot.
The youngster loves to be able to hit his driver and this course will allow him to let rip.
He’s 10th on Tour in birdie average so his scoring potential is there.
Kevin Na ($5,900) – Na is inside the top 32 on Tour for strokes gained: approach and putting.
If he can stick it close and make a few putts then he will return his value for us.
He streaked home for a T15 finish last week and is 22nd in the FedEx Cup standings so will want to solidify his spot in the top 30 to make the Tour Championship.
Bronson Burgoon ($5,400) – The Texan is 26th on Tour for birdie-or-better percentage on par fives.
His scoring ability is there and given he finished T11 last week, I think this represents a strong option given his quote.
Piece of Chalk: I am driving the Patrick Cantlay ($7,200) bandwagon.
Scrub-A-Dub: Bronson Burgoon ($5,400) is my guy in this spot.