The Easter long weekend is here and Moneyball is helping us celebrate larger guaranteed prize pools all weekend. Today we have $4,000 GPP’s for both of the single game contests and a $500 GPP for the 2 game slate. I will be running through some of my favourite plays across both of the games. It is also important to note that the Bulldogs vs Rabbitohs will kick off at 4pm with the second game starting in the usual 7:55pm time slot.
Damien Cook ($9,400) threatened the line every time he ran the ball last week. Cook ran for an impressive 172 metres in last weeks performance and managed to make 41 tackles. I expect Cook be just as damaging this week against the Bulldogs who have conceded more points than any other team in the league and have had issues with their defensive line in the middle third of the field. Cook should carve up his former team particularly in the later stages of the game.
Cameron Murray ($8,400) could be overlooked by many at this price. Murray is backing up from his worst fantasy performance this season but has been a great attacking threat for the Rabbitohs. Murray’s downside is that he relies on attacking stats to post big scores but, like Cook, Murray should benefit from this favourable matchup with the Bulldogs. In contrast, Rhyse Martin ($7,000) has been playing 80 minutes each week and racking up heaps of points through base stats. I think Bulldogs players may be overlooked today as they are projected to score the least amount of points but the Rabbitohs recent wins have all been close matches. We can pencil Rhyse Martin in for 30-odd base stat points and it wouldn’t surprise me if this is the week in which he scores a try and posts a big score. Zane Tetevano ($5,100) is a cheapie that is worth rostering in order to fit in all these high priced players I have mentioned so far. I expect the Storm vs Roosters to be a close, low-scoring game and as a result, there will be plenty of traffic through the middle third of the field. Tetevano will probably make more tackles as a result. The Roosters have dominated the last 2 games they have played and that has limited Tetevano’s fantasy output. This even match against the Storm should suit him. The other cheapie worth mentioning is Ofahiki Ogden ($4,100) who was called into the starting team to replace the injured Napa. Ogden played 44 minutes last week and scored 26.1 fantasy points. Ogden’s price has not yet adjusted for his new role within the team which makes him a great value play that will allow you to roster some of the guns that as on the slate tonight.
I expect Cody Walker’s ($8,500) freakish 4-try performance last week to make him the most owned half on the slate tonight but there are plenty of other quality options that may go under owned as a result. Adam Reynolds ($7,200) is a great option if you want to pivot off Walker. I think that if people are keen to roster a Rabbitohs half this week they will tend towards Walker making Reynolds a great point of difference and, on his day, Reynolds can be equally as damaging. The Storm vs Roosters is the grand final rematch and who can forget Luke Keary’s ($7,100) phenomenal performance that night. Keary will relish the opportunity to travel to Melbourne and face the Storm as he continues to push for Origin selection. On the other hand, Cameron Munster ($8,200) is one of the in-form players of the competition and he will be looking to make up for his Grand Final Performance against the reigning premiers. There is already enough to consider in the Halves, but I couldn’t possibly move on without also mentioning Cooper Cronk ($5,600) who’s feud with ex-teammate Cameron Smith has been well documented. Cronk could be a good contrarian play today as we will be very motivated to get another win against his former club.
Dane Gagai ($6,900) has not had a great deal of ball in most of the games he has played this year and as a result, his scores have not been outstanding. He did however, post 49.1 fantasy points against the Titans in round 3 and I think that, given the matchup agains the Bulldogs this round, he is just too good an athlete to not consider. If Gagai can get some early ball, he could very easily be the player who wins you a GPP today. On the other edge of the field, Campbell Graham ($5,900) has 5 tries to his name so far this year. He was quiet last week but that was merely a result of walker scoring 4 tries and not needing to spread the ball to wing on as many occasions. Jahrome Hughes ($6,300) and Matt Ikuvalu ($4,200) are my favourite backs in the Storm vs Roosters game. Both these players are great options if you want to gain some exposure to tryscorers in the second game without paying the huge price for the likes of Tedesco or Latrell. I mentioned in previous articles that Hughes has looked dangerous all year but has just not produced that huge fantasy score as of yet. That changed last week when he posted 55.4 points off the back of 2 try assists. Ikuvalu is a great cheapie who is improving with every game he plays in the NRL. He has scored a try in each of his last 2 games and I expect that trend to continue tonight.