Apologies for missing last week, it seems the holiday season is well and truly upon us. Same goes for this week as I gear up for my work Christmas party tomorrow, so will be dishing out the goodness in just a couple of precious Saturday night hours. See how much I give to you guys? NFL DFS Tips
No stuffing around, let’s get straight into it…
Alex Smith ($8,300) makes a lot of sense this week if you can resist the notion of chasing points. Can he do it two weeks in a row? The Chiefs are 4pt home favourites vs a bad pass defense and since early season phenom Kareem Hunt can’t seem to get it going, Smith will most likely be involved in most (if not all) Chief TDs. He was my preseason MVP pick and while that was a terrible call, he can still salvage a little respectability and win me some $$.
Tom Savage ($5,900) is another guy coming off a big day with 365yds vs the Titans. In his six starts since taking over for injured DeShaun Watson, he’s faced the Jaguars, Rams, and Ravens, 3 of the top pass defenses in the league. A savage schedule indeed (ahem). This week he gets the Niners at home, so enjoy the savings and run him out there.
Lamar Miller ($6,700). Get used to seeing a lot of Texans. Houston is a home favourite vs probably the worst run defense in the league. If there’s a downside to Savage, it’s that they lean on Miller – who is averaging nearly 20 touches per game on the season AND has been useful in the pass game.
Gio Bernard ($5,200) is the cheap play to make this week. He takes over for injured Joe Mixon in a decent matchup vs the Bears at home. Bernard has been with the Bengals forever and knows the drill. He’s an every down running back (meaning he’ll be getting early down touches as well as targets in the passing game) so his floor is as high as anyones. He should be heavily owned, so might be better suited for cash lineups, but will help you get higher priced players in for all formats.
Keenan Allen ($8,300) has been one of my favourite plays of late. He’s averaging 11 catches and 145 yards over his last 3 games and has 4 TDs. Do you even care what the matchup is? Well, if you do then take solace in the fact that Allen probably won’t see a lot of Josh Norman since he runs most of his routes out of the slot. The Chargers are at home and looking to secure a playoff spot for their new fans in LA. I like Allen to continue his balling ways.
DeAndre Hopkins ($8,700). For all of the reasons I mentioned above with Savage and Miller, plus the fact that Nuc is one of the lead leaders in targets. We like lots of opportunity vs the Niners.
Josh Gordon ($6,800) is a more reasonably priced WR this weekend who is also in a very good spot. The highly talented receiver had a decent opening game to the season last week with 84yds vs a touch San Diego pass defense and this week draws one of the worst in Green Bay. There’s been talk of Cleveland designing plays for Gordon as well and he could very well be the key to them winning a game this season.
Travis Kelce ($8,100) is a lock if you want to pay the price. Keep in mind that Kelce pretty much gives you the stats of a good WR when the matchup is right…and it sure is this weekend. He should be Alex Smith’s top target against that terrible Raiders pass defense and see close to 10 targets.
Stephen Anderson ($4,500) is the cheap option here. He saw 11 targets last week and with no other TE option in Houston to speak of, he might repeat that performance. Apologies for all the Texans love in this week’s article, but don’t be surprised if a big old stack pays off.
The Browns of Cleveland ($4,000). This is no joke. Hear me out: it’s a home game; it’s going to be cold and windy; the Browns offense is in a good position to score a lot on a bad Green Bay defense, which could put the Packers in a position to rely on Brett Hundley more than they want to; Brett Hundley went to high school in Arizona and college in Los Angeles, not necessarily places you learn to play in the cold; Brett Hundley is bad; the Browns will get chances to force turnovers; YOLO.
If you’re not feeling adventurous, the Jets ($4,500) vs the hapless Broncos look like a decent option.
Good luck everyone!