The 2018 NRL Grand Final is upon us and Moneyball has given us a $10,000 prize pool to compete for. I’m predicting the Melbourne Storm to edge out the Sydney Roosters in a low scoring, close fought battle. The majority of your salary cap should be used in the forwards as it’s unlikely that the outside backs will justify their high price tags.

HOOKERS

It’s a coin flip decision when it comes to choosing your hooker. Both Jake Friend ($7,800) and Cameron Smith ($7,700) are scoring well but I can’t see Smtih benefiting from too many goal kicking points. I’m leaning more towards Friend as his base output is typically higher.

FORWARDS

This is the position where most of my cap will be spent. There should be plenty of game time for the forwards to produce big base numbers. Boyd Cordner ($7,900) and Dale Finucane ($6,800) are expected to rack up the tackle and running points. Tim Glasby ($4,600) is a great low risk option for your forwards despite his low output. He’s the ideal choice if you’re planning on bringing someone like Slater or Tedesco into your side. Mitchell Aubusson ($4,900) has been named in the halves but make sure you check the final team list as Cronk could be a late inclusion. Speaking of which, Felise Kaufusi ($8,300) and Jesse Bromwich ($6,600) should be targeting Cronk throughout the match so keep them in mind as they may produce a sneaky line break or line break assist.

HALVES

Cameron Munster ($7,900) is the ideal choice if you can afford to bring him in. All three of the starting options could score well but it goes without saying that Cooper Cronk ($4,400) should be ignored if he manages to take the field.

OUTSIDE BACKS

James Tedesco ($12,100) is simply too expensive for this contest. He scored well below his average last week and I can’t see him producing numerous attacking stats against the tight defence of the Melbourne Storm. Billy Slater ($8,500) is free to play and is by far the more reasonable choice of the two fullbacks. I’m tipping a Melbourne victory so I won’t mind choosing the three cheapest outside backs who happen to be from the Storm anyway. Will Chambers ($6,000), Suliasi Vunivalu ($6,300) and Curtis Scott ($6,300) are all capable of scoring well and they’ll allow me to spend big in the forwards. Josh Addo-Carr ($6,600) also comes with a reasonable price tag but I’m backing the other candidates to score well below their average.